I really don't like this card this week to say the least... here are my general thoughts on this week's card...
Ottawa (-5) vs. Saskatchewan o/u 53.5: If I had my say in this one, under would be the bet... but I'm really afraid to put any money involved on either of these teams right now. The Renegades are massively overachieving, while the Riders are massively underachieving. Perhaps I will make a small play on the Riders to win this one outright (or a small play on the points), but until they get some QB play, I don't really know what to think of this line. It seems like the Renegades are still getting too much respect imo.
Toronto (-3) vs. Montreal o/u 56... Once again, another line I really don't know what to think of. It seems as though the Argos are back and for real hosting an Alouettes team that might have finally found their stride last week, finally putting down a Riders team that aren't even close to their same class. Will this carry over? It will certainly be a blood bath, that's for certain. The play I may make in this game is under, as the Alouettes defense looked like a normal D against against the Riders last week, while Toronto's staple has been on defense for the past couple seasons. Can't see taking a side, though I think 3 points might leave for a proportionate moneyline value worth backing the Alouettes for, in a game that can really collude the Eastern division. On the same token, Toronto's had a bunch of days off for this one and knows that a victory over the Alouettes at home will give them a sizeable lead in the East and put them in a prime spot to make the playoffs barring catastrophe down the stretch.
BC (-6.5) @ Calgary o/u 54.5: HELLO Calgary! This might be the game that I unload on this week. I'm very happy that I caught the Stamps wave at the right time, as they have proven very profitable for me thus far this season. However, I'm waiting on this one. I think this line could rise if Dickenson is proven healthy... Regardless, I want to see how the Stamps injuries play themselves out, and if the wrong combination of people are hurt, I might just lay off of this game altogether. Regardless, I still have some work to do on this one, but if Dickenson is healthy, there's no reason that this game shouldn't eclipse the total either.
Saturday night crapfest: Winnepeg (-2) vs. Hamilton o/u 50.5... it seems too easy... it really does... under seems way way too easy in this game. No one knows who's trotting out at QB for Winnepeg, and no one knows who's trotting out at QB for the Ti-Cats... So what the hell? If Tee Martin is playing for the Bombers, you're stealing the points and you're stealing under 50.5. Hamilton can win this game... the really can. As a matter of fact, I could see all 4 dogs winning outright this week. But this game just screams something crazy going on. Why I have this feeling that this game is gonna be played in the 80s, I don't know... but I just get this feeling that we're gonna see these offenses blow up... Why? Because Joe Public and every stat you can dig up will suggest that under 50.5 is the way to play, particularly after the embarassing efforts last week of both teams. Though this one might be a crapfest, I might be able to get a nice number to go over in this one... call me crazy, but this seems to be an unconventional play that I may make in this one....
Thanks for the thoughts in advance... also some injury reports as they become available would help a lot.
--AFLGuru:toast:
Ottawa (-5) vs. Saskatchewan o/u 53.5: If I had my say in this one, under would be the bet... but I'm really afraid to put any money involved on either of these teams right now. The Renegades are massively overachieving, while the Riders are massively underachieving. Perhaps I will make a small play on the Riders to win this one outright (or a small play on the points), but until they get some QB play, I don't really know what to think of this line. It seems like the Renegades are still getting too much respect imo.
Toronto (-3) vs. Montreal o/u 56... Once again, another line I really don't know what to think of. It seems as though the Argos are back and for real hosting an Alouettes team that might have finally found their stride last week, finally putting down a Riders team that aren't even close to their same class. Will this carry over? It will certainly be a blood bath, that's for certain. The play I may make in this game is under, as the Alouettes defense looked like a normal D against against the Riders last week, while Toronto's staple has been on defense for the past couple seasons. Can't see taking a side, though I think 3 points might leave for a proportionate moneyline value worth backing the Alouettes for, in a game that can really collude the Eastern division. On the same token, Toronto's had a bunch of days off for this one and knows that a victory over the Alouettes at home will give them a sizeable lead in the East and put them in a prime spot to make the playoffs barring catastrophe down the stretch.
BC (-6.5) @ Calgary o/u 54.5: HELLO Calgary! This might be the game that I unload on this week. I'm very happy that I caught the Stamps wave at the right time, as they have proven very profitable for me thus far this season. However, I'm waiting on this one. I think this line could rise if Dickenson is proven healthy... Regardless, I want to see how the Stamps injuries play themselves out, and if the wrong combination of people are hurt, I might just lay off of this game altogether. Regardless, I still have some work to do on this one, but if Dickenson is healthy, there's no reason that this game shouldn't eclipse the total either.
Saturday night crapfest: Winnepeg (-2) vs. Hamilton o/u 50.5... it seems too easy... it really does... under seems way way too easy in this game. No one knows who's trotting out at QB for Winnepeg, and no one knows who's trotting out at QB for the Ti-Cats... So what the hell? If Tee Martin is playing for the Bombers, you're stealing the points and you're stealing under 50.5. Hamilton can win this game... the really can. As a matter of fact, I could see all 4 dogs winning outright this week. But this game just screams something crazy going on. Why I have this feeling that this game is gonna be played in the 80s, I don't know... but I just get this feeling that we're gonna see these offenses blow up... Why? Because Joe Public and every stat you can dig up will suggest that under 50.5 is the way to play, particularly after the embarassing efforts last week of both teams. Though this one might be a crapfest, I might be able to get a nice number to go over in this one... call me crazy, but this seems to be an unconventional play that I may make in this one....
Thanks for the thoughts in advance... also some injury reports as they become available would help a lot.
--AFLGuru:toast:
